Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000153 0.000169 0.000187 0.000207 0.000229 0.000254 0.000283
2025-06-08 0.000119 0.000141 0.000167 0.000200 0.000240 0.000287 0.000349
2025-06-15 0.000102 0.000128 0.000160 0.000202 0.000258 0.000329 0.000428
2025-06-22 0.000091 0.000119 0.000156 0.000206 0.000277 0.000372 0.000513
2025-06-29 0.000080 0.000108 0.000146 0.000202 0.000283 0.000397 0.000576
2025-07-06 0.000070 0.000097 0.000136 0.000193 0.000280 0.000409 0.000620
2025-07-13 0.000064 0.000092 0.000132 0.000194 0.000291 0.000442 0.000699
2025-07-20 0.000060 0.000088 0.000130 0.000197 0.000306 0.000480 0.000793
2025-07-27 0.000056 0.000083 0.000125 0.000195 0.000312 0.000507 0.000870
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000081 0.000124 0.000198 0.000326 0.000547 0.000975
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000076 0.000120 0.000196 0.000331 0.000571 0.001053
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000194 0.000336 0.000597 0.001140
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000069 0.000112 0.000191 0.000341 0.000624 0.001235
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000185 0.000338 0.000635 0.001303
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000187 0.000351 0.000682 0.001455
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000060 0.000104 0.000191 0.000368 0.000738 0.001639
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000187 0.000369 0.000760 0.001745
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000053 0.000094 0.000179 0.000361 0.000760 0.001797
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000051 0.000093 0.000180 0.000371 0.000803 0.001969
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000050 0.000092 0.000182 0.000385 0.000859 0.002185
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000181 0.000391 0.000893 0.002348
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000183 0.000405 0.000953 0.002598
2025-11-02 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000181 0.000408 0.000982 0.002762